The Stakes

Lynn Scarlett, who served as deputy secretary of the interior under George W Bush, said Jorjani, who was her chief of staff, was “working on interior policy issues as part of the Trump team”.

In a recent post on his LinkedIn profile, Jorjani said he was part of the “Trump Campaign Legal Team” at the convention, where he was involved in advancing the Republican party’s platform, which promised to “unleash American Energy”. (He later clarified that his work at the convention was done “in a personal capacity”.) He was also recently appointed to the state air pollution control board in Virginia, and one of the sources speculated that he could be tapped for a top position at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) or the White House Council on Environmental Quality in a future Trump administration.

Jorjani did not respond to requests for comment, including questions about his relationship with the Trump campaign and his potential roles if Trump retakes the White House.

What exactly do Jorjani and other Trump supporters hope to do if Trump retakes the White House? Trump’s official campaign platform, known as Agenda 47, is vague. But conservative allies have drafted detailed plans to abolish or dismantle scientific research divisions within multiple federal agencies, hobble decades-old environmental laws and repeal the federal Antiquities Act, which has been used by presidents since Theodore Roosevelt to designate large swaths of public land as national monuments, protecting them from development.

Sensitive wildlands – such as the Boundary Waters Canoe Area wilderness in Minnesota, the Chaco Culture historic national park in New Mexico and the Arctic national wildlife refuge in Alaska, which was opened to oil and gas leasing during Trump’s first term – will also be under renewed threat from mining or oil and gas development. Meanwhile, imperiled species like grizzly bears and sage grouse will probably see their protections diminished or stripped away entirely.

“The playbook is basically rinse and repeat,” said David Hayes, who served as deputy secretary at the interior department under Barack Obama and Bill Clinton. “It is a completely backward-looking agenda.”

‘It’s scary how well-organized they are’

Jorjani is part of a larger constellation of conservative groups and political operatives angling for power and influence in a second Trump administration. The Heritage Foundation, a conservative thinktank, has put together Project 2025, a policy blueprint designed to help the Trump administration hit the ground running in a second term. The document includes a chapter on the interior department written by William Perry Pendley, who served as acting director of the Bureau of Land Management under Trump and was a protege of James Watt, the controversial interior secretary during the early years of the Reagan administration. Though his tenure was brief, Watt became known for leasing public lands at artificially low prices and attempting to sell federal land to reduce the national debt.

Though Trump has recently tried to distance his campaign from the Heritage Foundation’s work, many of the Project 2025 proposals align with his own positions, especially when it comes to resource extraction. The document, parts of which were written by oil and gas industry representatives, calls for reinstating Trump’s energy-dominance agenda, reducing national monument designations and weakening protections for endangered species.

David Bernhardt, who served as Trump’s interior secretary from 2019 to 2021, has been a central figure in the new network of policy organizations aligned with the Trump agenda. Bernhardt is currently chair of the Center for American Freedom at the America First Policy Institute, a thinktank founded by former Trump staffers Linda McMahon, Brooke Rollins and Larry Kudlow in 2021. (McMahon is now leading the campaign’s transition team.) Last year he published a book, You Report to Me: Accountability for the Failing Administrative State, which offers a detailed account of his plans to assert control over the federal bureaucracy during a future conservative administration.

Central to this project is the creation of a new category of federal employment, known as Schedule F, that would allow Trump to fire thousands of civil servants involved in policymaking and replace them with allies – a scheme Trump implemented during the final months of his first term but which the Biden administration quickly repealed. Employees in this category, according to Bernhardt, “would have the same removal appeal rights as political appointees, which is to say they would not have any”.

Installing political appointees – many of them former lobbyists, industry officials or conservative activists – in key positions could lead to another four years of ethics scandals, which hovered over Trump’s interior department during the entire length of his first term, often serving as a distraction from putting in place a conservative agenda. The most high-profile imbroglios involved the former interior secretary Ryan Zinke – who resigned in late 2018 amid investigations by the agency’s inspector general into whether he had used his office for personal gain. But interior department political appointees lower in the hierarchy also repeatedly ran afoul of federal ethics rules that are meant to prevent conflicts of interest.

“There is no reason to believe that [another Trump] administration would be more ethical,” said Kedric Payne, vice-president at the Campaign Legal Center, a non-partisan organization that advocates for ethics in government.

This time, however, preparations for a second Trump administration have taken on a greater degree of professionalism. Policy ideas – and the personnel to implement them – are being mapped out well in advance.

“It is scary how well-organized they are,” said a former interior department employee who has communicated with Jorjani.

Bernhardt did not respond to requests for comment.

Scarlett, who went on to work for the Nature Conservancy before retiring in 2021, described Jorjani as a “very dedicated conservative Republican”, who is well-positioned to implement the policies the Heritage Foundation and others have laid out. She also said the chaos and incompetence of the first Trump administration was unlikely to repeat itself.

“This is a different situation,” Scarlett said. “They’re going to go in with people who have experience and knowledge … and really get the agenda moving from day one.”

‘Vast stores of liquid gold’

Trump has already made clear his desire to court the oil and gas industry. In April, according to the Washington Post, Trump met with oil executives at his Mar-a-Lago resort and promised to reverse many of Biden’s environmental policies in exchange for $1bn in campaign donations. Oil and gas production under Biden has reached record highs and his administration approved the huge Willow project in Alaska, but Trump is seen as a figure who would impose few if any limits on the industry.

At another fundraiser organized by the oil company Continental Resources’ Harold Hamm and other industry executives, Trump said he would open more federal land to drilling on and offshore, and referred to the Arctic national wildlife refuge – a 19m-acre (7.7m-hectare) preserve on Alaska’s north slope – as the “biggest oil farm”. Through his personal connections, Hamm has already helped to raise millions of dollars from the oil and gas industry to support Trump’s campaign.

The refuge’s coastal plain was an early target of the Trump administration and a centerpiece of his energy-dominance agenda. The first ever lease sale in the refuge took place on 6 January 2021, the same day rioters stormed the US Capitol. Though major industry players had expressed little interest in drilling in this corner of Alaska, Trump and his allies prioritized opening it up to exploration and development.

The Biden administration canceled the leases and is finalizing a supplemental environmental impact statement that is expected to dramatically reduce the amount of land open to oil and gas exploration and development. Biden also raised royalty rates for oil, gas and coal production on federal land, issued new rules designed to curb the venting and flaring of natural gas, and took measures to account for the long-term climate impacts of fossil fuel production.

A second Trump administration would probably pick up where the first left off, however, reinstating quarterly lease sales wherever possible – as outlined by Project 2025 – and opening up the “vast stores of liquid gold on America’s public land”, according to the campaign’s website.

“The main themes of this playbook are to drill and pollute everywhere without regard for communities and wildlife, while erasing public parks, monuments and wildlife refuges from the map,” said Nicole Gentile, senior director for conservation at the Center for American Progress.

Attacks on climate science

Trump’s embrace of fossil fuels has also been coupled with – and in many ways depends on – a rejection of climate science. During Trump’s first term, political appointees sidelined climate scientists across government agencies. The interior department’s strategic plan was scrubbed of any mention of climate change. Trump officials discredited the work of its top climate scientists and dismissed the 2,000-page federal review of the risks of global warming known as the National Climate Assessment, released in 2018, as “not based on facts”. (The next climate assessment is due to be published in 2027, which means it will be heavily influenced by the next administration.)

At the US Geological Survey, political appointees tried to derail climate research by focusing only on a narrow 10-year time horizon – an unprecedented attack on the scientific process that outraged career employees. But if Trump is granted the power to fire thousands of civil servants, he would have little trouble pushing through his agenda in a second term.

Recent judicial decisions will also help. The supreme court has limited the EPA’s ability to address climate change through the Clean Air and Clean Water Acts, and overturned the Chevron doctrine, which for decades gave federal agencies the authority to interpret legal statutes. Now, a second Trump administration will have more leeway to advance its own policy priorities, and career civil servants, who have years of knowledge and expertise, will have less power to stand in the way.

“There’s much more infrastructure in place for a second Trump term to move forward very quickly with their agenda,” said Erik Schlenker-Goodrich, executive director of the Western Environmental Law Center.

Landmark environmental laws under threat

Major laws which have formed the bedrock of environmental preservation in the United States are also likely to come under legal and administrative attack during a second Trump presidency.

Veterans of Trump’s interior department have made known their desire to shrink national monuments and eviscerate the Antiquities Act. Project 2025 explicitly calls for the repeal of the law, which has helped protect such national treasures as the Grand Canyon. Conservative activists and lawyers have also long viewed other major national monuments like Bears Ears and Grand Staircase-Escalante, both in Utah, as targets for coal, oil and uranium development.

Meanwhile, the supreme court’s chief justice, John Roberts, in a 2021 statement, all but invited conservative lawyers to challenge the law through litigation, and a Trump administration is unlikely to defend it if such legal action proceeds. The nearly 120-year-old law may not survive another four years of Trump.

The Endangered Species Act, which is broadly popular with the American public, is also likely to face attacks. During Trump’s first term, the interior department focused on watering down the law’s strongest provisions, delisting species and pushing development in sensitive wildlife habitat. These will probably be priorities again.

“They haven’t been particularly shy about their agenda, it is all spelled out,” said Brett Hartl, the chief political strategist at the Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund, a wildlife conservation advocacy group. “It is not going to be better than the first time through.”

Cover photo: Then secretary of the interior, David Bernhardt, speaks at the White House on 8 July 2019. Photograph: Evan Vucci/AP